Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.177315 2.483195 2.816567 3.206893 3.651437 4.142056 4.724763
2025-09-07 1.676671 2.085690 2.571075 3.189664 3.957457 4.879772 6.073056
2025-09-14 1.381078 1.823643 2.380467 3.132708 4.123294 5.384661 7.115640
2025-09-21 1.184564 1.642673 2.247382 3.104381 4.289091 5.871599 8.151008
2025-09-28 1.029212 1.489214 2.122231 3.057433 4.405942 6.283673 9.104507
2025-10-05 0.981665 1.475632 2.181253 3.263353 4.883885 7.226137 10.880274
2025-10-12 0.892981 1.389868 2.124264 3.289532 5.095987 7.797404 12.159865
2025-10-19 0.840170 1.350523 2.129009 3.403859 5.444524 8.594008 13.845417
2025-10-26 0.764282 1.266131 2.054566 3.384403 5.577811 9.064404 15.054569
2025-11-02 0.700298 1.193590 1.990445 3.372456 5.717256 9.549713 16.322795
2025-11-09 0.634436 1.110883 1.901102 3.308303 5.760711 9.876296 17.347418
2025-11-16 0.596058 1.070904 1.878555 3.353572 5.990839 10.529698 18.983054
2025-11-23 0.554808 1.025831 1.849804 3.397617 6.245243 11.286008 20.946505
2025-11-30 0.506682 0.964152 1.787224 3.377547 6.388242 11.869879 22.680451
2025-12-07 0.458961 0.897612 1.708271 3.317315 6.447711 12.302539 24.169103
2025-12-14 0.420784 0.844908 1.649164 3.287311 6.559000 12.838185 25.903757
2025-12-21 0.384524 0.791926 1.583865 3.237591 6.624862 13.289598 27.513051
2025-12-28 0.381660 0.805606 1.649769 3.455671 7.246435 14.887334 31.599967
2026-01-04 0.358687 0.775291 1.624297 3.483396 7.479180 15.723063 34.187438
2026-01-11 0.346772 0.766978 1.642801 3.604475 7.918521 17.022307 37.887416
2026-01-18 0.322818 0.730091 1.597653 3.583870 8.050046 17.683406 40.260448
2026-01-25 0.301710 0.697315 1.558079 3.571217 8.196917 18.389205 42.800857
2026-02-01 0.278074 0.656398 1.496718 3.503275 8.211967 18.804512 44.717282